ay:BOSOX BUBBLY?The Red Sox can clinch the AL East at Yankee Stadium with a single win during their three-game series — in 2016 Matt Carpenter Jersey , Boston locked up the division while playing on the home field of its archrival. Ex-Yankee Nathan Eovaldi pitches against J.A. Happ in a matchup of veterans traded this summer. Rain is in the forecast for the 1:05 p.m. start, with the teams scheduled to begin early ahead of Yom Kippur observances.The Bosox will see how star outfielder Mookie Betts is feeling. He exited their last game after hurting his side making a throw home. Yankees slugger Aaron Judge moved closer to returning from a broken wrist when had 11 at-bats in a simulated game Monday.DODGEBALLThe showdown for first place in the NL West continues when Kyle Freeland (15-7, 2.96 ERA) starts for Colorado against Los Angeles ace Clayton Kershaw (8-5, 2.51) at Dodger Stadium. Kershaw beat the Rockies at Coors Field on Sept. 7; the next day, Freeland downed the Dodgers. It’s unclear whether Trevor Story will be available for Colorado after the All-Star shortstop injured his right elbow in an 8-2 loss Monday night that knocked his team out of playoff position. Story tweaked his elbow on a throw in the first inning and aggravated it on a swing in the fourth before leaving the game. Tests were scheduled for Tuesday.THE BIG 2-0Rays ace Blake Snell tries for his major league-leading 20th win when he starts at Texas. The 25-year-old Snell (19-5, 2.03 ERA) has won his last seven outings and 11 of his past 12 decisions. David Price is the only Tampa Bay pitcher to post a 20-win season, going 20-5 in 2012.SEEING RED Christian Yelich gets another chance to tear up the Cincinnati Reds. Yelich became the first major leaguer to hit for the cycle twice in one season against the same team Monday night, driving in four runs for the NL wild card-leading Brewers in their 8-0 victory over the Reds. He also singled, doubled, tripled and homered when he went 6 for 6 on Aug. 29 at Cincinnati, making him only the third player since 1900 to accomplish the feat twice in one year. The previous hitter with two cycles in one season was Aaron Hill for Arizona in 2012. “I don’t know if it’s really set in yet, but it’s definitely crazy,” Yelich said. “It was a pretty exciting moment.”CHECK HIMTigers righty Michael Fulmer will seek a second opinion after an MRI showed possible damage to his meniscus. He was pulled after just five pitches Saturday when he tweaked his right knee trying to grab a bunt. The 2016 AL Rookie of the Year is 3-12 with a 4.69 ERA this season. He’s had health issues over the past couple years. Let’s break down what a White Sox-Dodgers deal could actually look like"Well, well, well, is Jose Abreu about to leave, even though GM Rick Hahn indicated he was looking to add MLB pieces, not subtract? It is probably two years too late to get a top-level prospect haul for Abreu, but here we are, contemplating a trade of our unofficial captain again.The Goldschmidt GaugeThanks to a recent deal for a superstar first baseman http://www.stlouiscardinalsteamshop.com/authentic-marcell-ozuna-jersey , we have some sort of a baseline for a Jose Abreu deal. The Arizona Diamondbacks traded Paul Goldschmidt for Luke Weaver, Carson Kelly, Andy Young, and a 2019 competitive balance B pick (MLB.com says it is 78th overall). This should come as no surprise, but Goldschmidt is much better than Abreu, at just about everything.Before the 2017 season, Luke Weaver was around the 50th-70th best prospect in all of baseball. He made his MLB debut in 2016, and performed admirably — and he was even better in 2017. However, 2018 was not an inspiring year for the young righty. Weaver’s K/9 plummeted below eight, and his BB/9 went from 2.54 in 2017 to 3.56 in 2018. Obviously, the FIP skyrocketed as well, to 4.45, and he even lost his starting spot in September. Weaver is probably not the top prospect he once was, but he is still a great headliner in the trade.Carson Kelly, the now-former Yadier Molina replacement, also made his debut in 2016. He is reportedly a very good defensive catcher, but has not gone through enough major league at-bats to really gauge his hit tool. Scouts are not particularly fond of Kelly’s bat, whether it is for contact or power,but his bat has been above average in AAA. In 2017, Kelly had a wRC+ of 120 in AAA. His wRC+ did fall to 107 in 2018 Lou Brock Jersey , but that is still a good mark, especially when he had a 13.8% walk and strikeout rate in AAA. I do not think Kelly has a high ceiling with the bat, but as framing pitches is seemingly becoming more important, Kelly is a good pickup. Andy Young had a good year in A+ and AA last year; however, there is not much potential there, most scouts agree. He will be 25 next season, so Young’s lower-level success is already skewed due to his age. The 37th round pick in 2016 just gives off a Jake Peter vibe from his stats, so he is kind of a fringe prospect. Draft picks are hard to find value, but that does not mean we cannot try! To gauge what a high-70s draft pick is equivalent to, let’s look at the 2018 draft. The Chicago Cubs picked 77th and 78th overall. The 77th overall pick, Cole Roederer, currently is the 14th-best prospect in the organization. Their 78th overall pick, Paul Richan, is not among the Top 30 Cubs prospects. The Detroit Tigers selected Kody Clemens 79th overall, and he is their 16th-best prospect. Jake Wong was chosen 80th by the San Francisco Giants, and he is their 21st-best prospect. And let’s wedge the White Sox in here: They selected Konnor Pilkington No. 81, and he is their 18th-best prospect. So, whomever the Diamondbacks select with the 78th overall pick in 2019, he should be a mid-teens top prospect in their system.Abreu vs. GoldschmidtWhat does a prospect haul like that mean in terms of an Abreu trade? Well, first Ken Boyer Jersey , Abreu is not going to command anything close to that. Both Goldschmidt and Abreu are entering contract years, and Goldy is entering his age 32 season, same as Abreu (Abreu is only eight months older, which is kind of surprising). However, Goldy is far better as a hitter, fielder, and anything else you can think of.Last season, Goldschmidt had a terrible start to his season, and yet he ended up with a 5.4 bWAR. The only year where Abreu had a higher bWAR than 5.4 was his rookie season, in 2014. On top of that, Abreu is coming off a 2018 that was his worst offensive season to date. He only had a 114 wRC+, and the second lowest ISO of his career. Meanwhile, Goldschmidt’s wRC+ has increased each of the past three seasons, from 133 in 2016 all the way to 145 in 2018. His ISO did fall to .243 in 2018, but the Diamondbacks instituted a humidor, so it was to be expected.Now, I think we all realize that Abreu is not the best athlete. He is a bad first baseman, a below average baserunner, and not very fast. Goldschmidt once stole 32 bases (in 2016) and has graded out as a positive baserunner in every season since 2014. Over the past three seasons, Goldy has also been one of the best defensive first basemen in the league http://www.stlouiscardinalsteamshop.com/authentic-marcell-ozuna-jersey , with 20 defensive runs saved (DRS) — third in baseball overall. Abreu is the polar opposite. Over the last three years, he is the third worst defensive first basemen in baseball, with -9 DRS.So by almost any measure, Paul Goldschmidt is far and away better than Abreu. As a result, Abreu should not garner much prospect fanfare in return.But let’s get to what the Sox could get from the Dodgers.Salary dump routeThe Los Angeles Dodgers’ championship window seems to be closing at this point. Because any package for Abreu should be limited, the salary dump route is the most prospect-savvy. Although Rich Hill is still a good pitcher, he’s been a victim of injuries, and his production is falling. There is no need to do a deep dive on Hill, but he now averages less than 90 mph on his fastball, and is still effective, but he had his lowest K/9 and his highest FIP since his days as a reliever. The more important things are: Hill is on a contract year with a salary of $18 million, and the Dodgers have multiple major league caliber starting pitchers. Hill is an aging, expensive, expendable player for the Dodgers. Also, Matt Kemp is an aging, expensive, expendable player. Frank Thomas to Paul Konerko to Jose Abreu and, perhaps sooner than we think, that chain will be broken.
panxing18, 27.06.2019 04:28